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In Guangzhou alone, rapid expansion has led to almost 6 per cent of the population building on land previously unoccupied due to the risk of flooding, says the team, with people living just half a metre above sea level. In one scenario, a rise of 5☌ by 2100 would see the average sea level rise of almost one metre (40 inches).īut 80 per cent of the coastline will see waters rise by almost double this, to 1.8 metres (70 inches). Writing in a paper, published today in Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, the authors explain: ‘If warming continues above 2☌, then, by 2100, sea level will be rising faster than at any time during human civilization.’ In the latest study, an international team of researchers, including the National Oceanography Centre in Liverpool looked at models of warming beyond this threshold.
While nations around the world have committed to limiting an increase of no more than 2☌ above pre-industrial levels, climate scientists are using predictive models to show the potential impacts of ‘business as usual’ model.
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